Personal decisions

Investment Decision Assessment

Compare investment opportunities across risk, return potential, alignment, and time horizon. Useful for personal financial planning and long-term wealth decisions. The criteria can be changed, added to and weighted.

What the framework is

An investment decision assessment compares investment options for your own money, such as a pension top-up, an index fund or paying down a mortgage, against what matters to you. The template starts with five criteria: Potential Return, Risk Level, Time to Value, Alignment with Goals and Long-Term Stability. The criteria can be changed, added to and weighted.

What the result looks like

EXAMPLE
Which investment option should I prioritise?
Top ranked
Index fund
Potential Return 92% · 1st
Risk Level 63% · 1st
Time to Value 38% · 3rd
Alignment with Goals 75% · 1st
Long-Term Stability 50% · 2nd
63%
Weighted win rate

Overall

Options
Weighted win rate
01
Index fund
Potential Return 1st · Risk Level 1st · Time to Value 3rd · Alignment with Goals 1st · Long-Term Stability 2nd
63%
02
Property
Potential Return 2nd · Risk Level 2nd · Time to Value 1st · Alignment with Goals 3rd · Long-Term Stability 1st
52%
03
Pay down mortgage
Potential Return 3rd · Risk Level 3rd · Time to Value 2nd · Alignment with Goals 2nd · Long-Term Stability 3rd
35%

Overall with the criteria

Rank
Options
Potential Return
20%
Risk Level
20%
Time to Value
20%
Alignment with Goals
20%
Long-Term Stability
20%
Overall
Weighted win rate
01 Index fund
92%
1st
63%
1st
38%
3rd
75%
1st
50%
2nd
63%
02 Property
42%
2nd
58%
2nd
71%
1st
33%
3rd
54%
1st
52%
03 Pay down mortgage
17%
3rd
29%
3rd
42%
2nd
42%
2nd
46%
3rd
35%

By the options

01 · Index fund
63% weighted win rate
–
Potential Return
92%
1st of 3 · 22 Wins · 2 Losses
–
Risk Level
63%
1st of 3 · 15 Wins · 9 Losses
–
Time to Value
38%
3rd of 3 · 9 Wins · 15 Losses
–
Alignment with Goals
75%
1st of 3 · 18 Wins · 6 Losses
–
Long-Term Stability
50%
2nd of 3 · 12 Wins · 12 Losses
02 · Property
52% weighted win rate
–
Potential Return
42%
2nd of 3 · 10 Wins · 14 Losses
–
Risk Level
58%
2nd of 3 · 14 Wins · 10 Losses
–
Time to Value
71%
1st of 3 · 17 Wins · 7 Losses
–
Alignment with Goals
33%
3rd of 3 · 8 Wins · 16 Losses
–
Long-Term Stability
54%
1st of 3 · 13 Wins · 11 Losses
03 · Pay down mortgage
35% weighted win rate
–
Potential Return
17%
3rd of 3 · 4 Wins · 20 Losses
–
Risk Level
29%
3rd of 3 · 7 Wins · 17 Losses
–
Time to Value
42%
2nd of 3 · 10 Wins · 14 Losses
–
Alignment with Goals
42%
2nd of 3 · 10 Wins · 14 Losses
–
Long-Term Stability
46%
3rd of 3 · 11 Wins · 13 Losses
Scoring Explanations
CRITERIA WEIGHTINGS — The % weighting for each criterion is shown in the table header. Unless this was entered in the setup, the weighting is equal across criteria.
WEIGHTED WIN RATE — Each criterion's result, in the measure they share, averaged using the assigned weightings.

When it earns its place

Use it to organise your own thinking before deciding, or before talking to an adviser.

How to run it with a group

  1. List two to six options you are genuinely considering.
  2. Decide how much each criterion counts for you, given your time horizon.
  3. Compare the options two at a time on each criterion.
  4. Read the ranking per criterion as well as overall, and check the top choice against your goals.

Get started